Election Results
by
Christopher Dodson
Executive Director
North Dakota Catholic Conference
December 2006
Let us take a look at the last election, the upcoming
legislature, and how you can help make a difference.
Democrats made the most gains in November’s election,
although Republicans still maintain a majority in both
chambers. The Democrats gained six seats in the state
Senate, bringing their total to 21 seats. The Republicans
still control the Senate with 26 seats. The Democrats
gained seven seats in the state House of Representatives.
That brings their total in the House to 33, with the
Republicans retaining 61.
The number of Catholics in the legislature dropped from 34
to 28. Four Catholic legislators chose not to run for
reelection. Voters chose not to return three additional
Catholic legislators. One freshman legislator is Catholic,
as is a legislator returning after a hiatus. This brings
the percentage of Catholics serving in the legislature to
about 20 percent, which is slightly lower than the
percentage of Catholics in the state.
Although the percentage of Catholics in the legislature may
have dropped, the percentage of North Dakota voters who are
Catholic may have significantly increased. According to
exit polls conducted for CNN and other agencies, forty
percent of the voters in North Dakota described themselves
as Catholic. This is 17 points higher than the percentage
of Catholics in the state (23%.)
I had
the opportunity to ask John Green of the Pew Forum on
Religion and Public Life whether these numbers sounded
accurate. He noted that there could be reasons why the
numbers could be skewed, but said he had no reason to doubt
them. The case for the accuracy of the numbers is
strengthened by the fact that exit polls in Florida also
showed a Catholic voter turnout significantly higher than
the state’s percentage of Catholics.
Several scenarios might explain why Catholics voted in a
greater proportion this year. Something might have
motivated North Dakota Catholics, in particular, to vote in
higher numbers this election than in previous elections.
However, it is difficult to think of what issue or issues
would have motivated Catholics, but not non-Catholics, to
vote in this last election.
Another possibility is that something discouraged
non-Catholics in the state from voting that did not
discourage Catholics. Again, it is difficult to identify
such a factor.
A more plausible explanation might reveal itself in the
voter turnout. The voter turnout in the last election was
much lower than in 2004. Only 44.5% of the state’s
eligible voters voted in this last election, compared to
the 64.9 % that voted in 2004. Of those who did vote in
2006, a higher percentage of them were Catholic compared to
2004, indicating the state’s Catholics are more
likely to vote than non-Catholics in non-presidential year
elections. Perhaps Catholics are taking seriously their
moral obligation to participate in the political process.
How did North Dakota Catholics vote in the last election?
Unfortunately, the data does not reveal much. The exit
polls for North Dakota show that when it came to the
“larger” races, Catholics voted much like the
rest of the state, returning Senator Kent Conrad and
Representative Earl Pomeroy by large margins. The
percentage of Catholics supporting the two incumbents was
only slightly higher than the percentage of non-Catholics
doing so. The exit pollsters are not interested in state
legislative races. The state political parties might have
that information, but they are unlikely to release what
they probably consider propriety information.
Although these numbers provide some interesting questions
to ponder, they really do not mean much by themselves. What
matters is what the legislators do after they are elected.
Likewise, what the state’s Catholics do after the
election matters.
It is noteworthy that Catholic teaching does not state that
Catholics have an obligation to vote. The Church teaches
that Catholics have an obligation to participate in the
political process. Voting is only one small part of that
process.
The North Dakota Catholic Conference provides an
opportunity for Catholics to engage in the development of
public policy. Every parish operates a legislative action
network, through which parishioners can disseminate
information on issues and how to contact legislators. Even
those not connected to a parish network can get information
directly from the North Dakota Catholic Conference. Members
of the Legislative Action Network will receive legislative
alerts, updates, and regular e-newsletters during the
legislative session. To sign-up, go to ndcatholic.org.
Even if you do not join the legislative action network, be
sure to regularly check out the News and Updates page at
the conference’s web site. You can even subscribe to
our newsfeed and get up-to-the-moment information on what
is happening.
Joining the North Dakota Catholic Conference Legislative
Action Network and regularly checking the
conference’s web site are two ways lay Catholics can
help fulfill their God-given blessing and charge to shape
the political world.